However, the Union government is staying away from calling it a fresh wave.Ī similar study by researchers at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Kanpur has projected that the third wave of COVID-19 pandemic in India may peak by 3 February. Since December-end, India has been witnessing a sudden rise in coronavirus cases. The model considered that either 30 percent, 60 percent or 100 percent of the population is susceptible.ĭepending on the percentage of people susceptible to the virus, the daily cases in India could be around 3 lakh, 6 lakh or 10 lakh during the peak. The prediction has been done considering that past infection and vaccination leaves a fraction of the population susceptible to the new variant. The COVID-19 curve for India could start flattening by March-beginning, it added.įor Delhi, the model says, the peak could be by mid-January or the third week and for Tamil Nadu it will be in the last week of January or the first week of February, depending on the percentage of people susceptible to the virus. The peak of the third wave for different states will vary from mid-January to mid-February.
It, however, adds that different states will have different peaks. It says that the peak of the third coronavirus wave in India could be in January’s last week having its impact in February’s first week for the country.
The study, based on Omicron transmissibility rates, was conducted by Professor Siva Athreya, Professor Rajesh Sundaresan and team from Indian Institute of Science (IISc) and Indian Statistical Institute (ISI), Bengaluru. The Omicron-triggered third wave of COVID-19 in India may peak in January-end and February, with daily cases touching 10 lakh, a new modelling study by IISc-ISI has predicted.
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